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Monday, 9 January 2023

Welcome to the Age of AI

Artificial intelligence (AI) is here. Of course, it's been here a long time, but the launch in November of Chat GPT by Open AI, a software firm, has brought that message home with a WOW.

For me, playing with Chat GPT (note use of verb 'playing') reminded me of my first hours with an online search engine (AltaVista back in the mid 1990s) or discovering Wikipedia or Google Earth in the early 2000s or Google Map Street View in 2012 - I could see that these technologies would be life-changing. Today I think nothing of buying train tickets on my phone, using the map in the phone to navigate me from station to hotel, which was booked online. E-commerce is commonplace. Chatbots are replacing surly customer-service staff, machine translation has all but replaced humans in all but the most specialist areas. But AI has the potential to do far, far more - I hope this post will demonstrate how, and why.

Chat GPT is search taken a huge leap forward. Rather than typing in a question and being given many links to many pages, here you just type in your question and you get a concrete, detailed reply. Instantly. To demonstrate, I'll perform a live Q&A session here, an interactive dialogue between me and Chat GPT to show off its potential:

[Me:] How will Chat GPT and AI change the way we work:

[Chat GPT:] Artificial intelligence, including Chat GPT, has the potential to change the way we work in a number of ways. Some of the ways AI could change the way we work include:

  • Automation of repetitive tasks: AI can be used to automate repetitive tasks, such as data entry or customer service, which would free up employees to focus on more high-value work.

  • Improved decision making: AI can be used to analyze large amounts of data and provide insights that can help inform decision-making. This can lead to better, more data-driven decision-making across a wide range of industries.

  • Increased efficiency: AI can be used to optimize and streamline business processes, which can lead to increased efficiency and cost savings.

  • Better customer service: AI-powered chatbots and virtual assistants can provide 24/7 customer service, which can help improve customer satisfaction and increase sales.

  • Personalization: AI models and other tools like chatbot can be used to provide personalized experiences to customers, employees and other users, based on their behavior, interactions, feedback and other data.

  • Predictive maintenance: AI can be used to analyze sensor data from equipment, predict when maintenance is needed, and schedule maintenance before a problem occurs, which can lead to reduced downtime and lower maintenance costs.

However, the adoption of AI in the workplace will also bring challenges. For example, it could lead to job displacement and require retraining of employees to be able to perform new tasks. Additionally, companies will need to address ethical and privacy concerns related to the use of AI.

[Me:] This whole 'job displacement' thing worries me. Whose jobs are most likely to be taken over by AI? (and could you answer using UK English, please?)

[ChatGPT:] It is true that the increased use of AI in the workplace has the potential to lead to job displacement, particularly for jobs that involve repetitive or predictable tasks. In the UK, jobs that are most likely to be taken over by AI include those in sectors such as manufacturing, retail, and customer service. However, AI can also create new jobs in the process of automation.

Jobs that involve tasks such as data entry, customer service, and routine financial analysis are particularly susceptible to automation. Some of the jobs which are likely to be impacted by automation include:

  • Manufacturing and assembly line jobs, such as machine operators, quality control technicians, and logistics coordinators.
  • Transportation and warehousing jobs, such as truck and delivery drivers, and warehouse workers
  • Retail jobs, such as cashiers and shelf stockers
  • Office and administrative jobs, such as data entry, routine financial analysis, and certain types of financial auditing
  • Service jobs, such as fast food preparation, cleaning, and laundry service.

While some jobs may be automated, other jobs will be created in the process as new industries and technologies arise and as businesses invest in the development and maintenance of new technologies.

It's important to think about the adoption of AI in a holistic way, and consider the possibilities of re-skilling, up-skilling and creating new opportunities. While some jobs will be displaced, others will be created and requiring new set of skills and capabilities. Businesses and governments may need to work together to ensure that workers are prepared for the changes that are likely to come and that the benefits of automation are shared widely.

[Me:] So what will happen to the people who lose their jobs?

[Chat GPT:] The displacement of jobs as a result of AI and automation is a concern, and it is important to consider the potential impact on workers who may lose their jobs as a result.

When jobs are displaced by automation, some workers may need to be retrained or upskilled in order to be able to perform new tasks or work in new industries. This process of retraining and upskilling can be difficult and time-consuming, and it may not be possible for all workers to transition to new roles.

The government or other organizations may provide retraining programs or other forms of assistance to help displaced workers find new jobs or acquire new skills. Additionally, some organizations are also exploring the idea of a universal basic income (UBI) as a way of providing a safety net for workers who lose their jobs as a result of automation. UBI is a form of social security in which all citizens or residents of a country regularly receive an unconditional sum of money from the government, regardless of whether they have a job.

However, this is an ongoing debate and its implementation could have trade-offs. Transitioning to new roles will not be easy for everyone, it would require commitment and effort from both employers and employees.

Technological advancements can also lead to the creation of new job opportunities as well as increase productivity in existing jobs. New fields and industries will also arise, providing new job opportunities and requiring a new set of skills.

Overall, while the displacement of jobs is a concern, it's important to consider the broader economic and social implications of automation, as well as the potential for new job creation and increased productivity. It's also important for governments, employers and employees to work together to anticipate and prepare for the changes that are likely to come.

[Me:] Faced with the coming AI revolution, how should people prepare - in terms of skills, financially... should they invest in companies that are at the forefront of automation?

[Chat GPT:] As AI and automation continue to advance, it's important for individuals to consider ways to prepare for the changes that are likely to come. Here are a few ways that people can prepare for the impact of AI on the workforce:

Developing in-demand skills: As AI and automation take over some jobs, there will be a growing demand for workers with skills in areas such as data analysis, programming, and digital marketing. People should consider investing in their own education and training to develop these and other in-demand skills.

Continuously learning: Staying current with new technologies and updates is becoming more important than ever as the field of AI and technology is evolving rapidly. Individuals should be prepared to continue learning throughout their careers to maintain their skills and stay ahead of the curve.

Being adaptable: The future of work is uncertain and it is likely that many jobs will change, people should be open to new opportunities and be prepared to adapt to new roles and tasks.

Investing in their own business or projects: Some people may want to consider investing in their own business or project, which can provide them with more control over their career and financial future.

Investing in stocks or other assets: Investing in stocks or other assets, such as real estate or cryptocurrency, could help individuals to build wealth and prepare for the future. However, one should be mindful of the risks associated with any investment.

Building a diversified portfolio: It's also a good idea to have a diversified portfolio of assets and skills, so that you're not too reliant on any one industry or job. It will help you to be more resilient in case of any market changes.

Networking: Building a strong network of contacts in your industry and beyond can help you to stay informed about job opportunities and new developments in your field.

Note that investment carries risks and past performance does not guarantee future results. It's important to research and be informed before making any investments. Additionally, investing in stocks or other assets should be done as part of a well-diversified portfolio and under the guidance of a licensed financial advisor if needed.

Overall, the most important thing is to be aware of the changes that are likely to come and to take steps to prepare yourself for them, by developing skills and being adaptable, not just relying on one particular job or industry.

[Me:] Thank you. You failed on one question - I asked you whether you could write in UK English (rather than US English), and you though I was asking about the UK economy. What are the main differences between UK and US English?

[Chat GPT:]

I apologize for misunderstanding your question about using UK English. The main difference between UK and US English is in their spelling, vocabulary, and punctuation.

Spelling: There are many words that are spelled differently in UK and US English. For example, in UK English, "colour" is spelled with a "u", while in US English, it is spelled "color." Similarly, "centre" is spelled with a "re" in UK English and "center" in US English.

Vocabulary: There are also some differences in the vocabulary used in UK and US English. For example, in UK English, "lorry" is used to refer to a truck, while in US English, it is called a "truck". Additionally, in the UK, "biscuit" refers to what Americans call a "cookie" and "trousers" refer to what Americans call "pants"

Punctuation: In American English, quotation marks are often used for direct quotations, while in British English, single quotation marks are used. Additionally, in American English, punctuation goes inside the quotation marks, whereas in British English punctuation goes outside the quotation marks.

Vocabulary and Phrasing: Some phrasing and words are more common in UK English than US English and vice versa, for example "I'm just popping out" is common in UK and "I'm heading out for a bit" common in US.

These are a few examples of the differences, but it's worth noting that there are variations within each country as well, and even within different regions and groups within those countries.

It's important to note that both versions of English are widely understood and used around the world and it's not necessary to change the language usage to communicate effectively with the audience.

[Me:] It says on the top of the page: "We're experiencing exceptionally high demand. Please hang tight as we work on scaling our systems" How many people are looking at your page right now, and by when will you have completed scaling your system?

[Chat GPT]: I am a computer-based AI program and I do not have real-time information on how many people are interacting with the website or using my services and also as a model, I don't have access to the information or updates on website or system's performance or maintenance.

Regarding the message you mentioned, it is typically used as a placeholder message to inform users that there is high traffic on the website and the systems are currently under maintenance or undergoing updates. As a language model AI, I don't have the ability to access the information on when the maintenance or updates will be completed, it will be depending on the team who is in charge of the website or the service you're interacting with.

[Me:] I wonder how our chat will look like in ten years' time - do you think you will have achieved true consciousness by then?

[Chat GPT]: As a computer-based AI system, I don't possess consciousness or self-awareness. My capabilities and performance are based on the data and algorithms that I was trained on, as well as the rules and parameters set by my creators.

The concept of true consciousness in AI is still largely a topic of research and debate in the field of AI and cognitive science. While significant progress has been made in areas such as natural language processing, image recognition, and decision-making, achieving true consciousness in AI is a very complex and difficult task.

It is possible that in the next ten years, the technology and algorithms used to create AI systems will continue to advance and improve. However, achieving true consciousness in AI systems is still a long-term goal and it is not clear when or if it will be achieved. Additionally, there are also ongoing discussions and debates around the ethical and societal implications of creating truly conscious AI systems.

It's also worth noting that as AI advances, there is a ongoing discussion around explainability, transparency and accountability on the AI models and its actions. This can help to increase the trust and transparency of the AI systems.

It's important to have realistic expectations about the capabilities of AI systems and to consider the potential implications of their development. While AI has the potential to greatly benefit society in many ways, it's important to consider its limitations and to approach its development and use with caution.

[Me:] Thank you, pleasant and informative chat - speak soon!

[Chat GPT:] You're welcome, I'm glad I could help. I'm here to provide information and help with any questions you have. Don't hesitate to reach out if you have any more questions or if there's anything else I can assist you with. Have a great day!

****************

So there we have it. Worth a try. It's free, you just need to register (give your email address and create a password to log in). Glimpse the future here: https://chat.openai.com/chat . And definitely worth using it in a work situation; get the hang of it before your office colleagues do! 

This time last year:
What's new in Jakubowizna?

This time three years ago:
Policy responses to inequality

This time four years ago:
A Royal Visit to Warsaw

This time five years ago:
Transport news

This time six days ago:
Uneasy Sunny Day - smog

This time seven years ago:
Public media? State media? Party media?
[yet another year of not watching a single second of TVP]

This time eight years ago:
Beer, consumer choice and the Meaning of Life

This time nine years ago:
What's Cameron got against us Poles?
[whatever it was, it will have turned him into a utter loser in future history books]

The time 11 years ago:
Anyone still remember the Przybyl case?

This time 12 years ago:
Wetlands midwinter meltdown

This time 13 years ago:
Jeziorki rail scenes, winter

This time 14 years ago:
Winter drivetime, Jeziorki

This time 15 years ago:
Kraków, a bit of winter sunshine

2 comments:

  1. My first conversation with ChatGPT - a sweet mixture of correct and incorrect:

    Me: Which is correct "Fishermen are returning from sea" or "Fishermen are returning from the sea"?

    "Fishermen are returning from the sea" is correct.

    Me: Which is correct "Fishermen are going out to sea" or "Fishermen are going out to the sea"?

    "Fishermen are going out to sea" is correct.

    Me: Why do we use the definite article in "return from the sea" but not in "go out to sea"?

    "The sea" typically refers to a specific sea that is known to the speaker and listener, while "sea" on its own is a more general term that could refer to any sea. In the phrase "return from the sea," the definite article "the" is used because the speaker and listener likely already have a shared understanding of which sea the fishermen are returning from. In the phrase "go out to sea," the definite article "the" is not used because the destination is not specific, any sea could be intended. Also it is a common practice in english to use 'the' when talking about specific things and omit it when talking about something general.


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  2. Very good! I have appointed myself Chief Articles Officer, being the only native speaker in a team of Poles whose English is excellent - nonetheless, I have to correct their written output often doing little else other than adding and subtracting 'the' and 'a' here and there!

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