Saturday, 20 December 2014

There won't be snow in Jeziorki this Christmas

There's little doubt, the climate is changing. Last December was almost snow-free, the forecast for Warsaw unto the end of the year does not forecast snow. Yesterday, although it was rainy for most of the day, the temperature hit a staggering 12C, while today on my walk around Jeziorki, the day's high was 7C. Note that Warsaw's average daytime high for December is around 2C (sources vary from 1.9C to 2.1C).

Once upon a time, snow could cover Warsaw from the end of November through to early April. Since I started coming to Poland in winter, in the early 1990s, there have been thaws (odwilże) punctuating the snowy season. December has usually been snowy (check back past Decembers on this blog). The planet is warming up.

On today's walk, there was a distinct feel of spring in the air; like the przednówek season when nature is waiting patiently to explode back into life - but we've not had winter yet - real winter, with frosts of -20C and a 15cm (six-inch) layer of snow over everything.

So - onto the photos. I set off, turn into ul. Dumki. Below: the birch trees have been bare for a month. In the distance, ul. Trombity.


Below: a cygnet (left) and its parent swimming on open water. In past years, they'd have been long gone, migrating south to return in late March. The recent warmer winters have persuaded them to stay in Warsaw. Click here to see swans in ice on 7 December 2012.


A view across the lake; when the sun appears from behind the clouds, in the strong westerly wind it feels exactly like March. No different. A few more weeks like this and buds will be appearing on trees...


Across the lake, this is the reverse view of this photo, albeit taken with a telephoto rather than wide-angle lens.


Below: After a few weeks of rain, ul. Dumki has become impassable to motorised traffic (a good thing) and to those not wearing the stoutest of footwear.


Below: across the railway tracks towards Dawidy Bankowe, the low winter sun highlights the unseasonal verdure of the arable fields.


Below: a panorama of Warsaw city centre from Dawidy Poduchowne (just within the city boundary). Second skyscraper from the left is Warsaw Spire, under construction. The gap in between is the Wola district, which should fill up with high-rise developments. Warsaw is already ranked fourth in the EU (after Paris, London and Frankfurt) in terms of cities with buildings over 150m high. Click to enlarge.


And a follow-up from Sunday, 21 December, the shortest day of 2014. I cross the tracks and spot new-style PKP PLK SA snowdrift screens, replacing the wooden ones which were rarely used in recent years.


Poland's railway management is increasingly sensitive to bad PR typu 'Sorry, taki mamy klimat'. Good to see that action is being taken in good time to prevent mishaps and delays.

This time last year:
Man falls under train at W-wa Żwirki i Wigury

This time four years ago:
Kidnapped by Koleje Mazowieckie

This time five years ago:
Google Earth updates Jeziorki

This time six years ago:
Out and about with two foot of glass

Thursday, 18 December 2014

Contagion - contagion - contagion - CONTAGION

Yes I did once take a phone call from someone in America convinced that Yugoslavia is the capital of Poland.

The Russian economy is tanking - estimates of a 4%-5% contraction of GDP next year coupled with 10% plus inflation. The Polish economy is sturdy - analysts are still holding to a forecast of 3% GDP growth next year while inflation is invisible. So why did the zloty perform so strangely today?

Opening at 5.34 to the pound, at the time I write it is 5.42, a change of over 1.5% in a day. (How would you like to earn 1.5% return on your capital - not over the space of a year, but during one trading session?)

The word is 'contagion'. Look at these graphs: The first one shows the rouble's performance against the pound today. Note what happened when Putin began his press conference this morning - the rouble began to slide (shown as a rise in the value of the pound on this graph). The pound cost eight roubles more by the middle of the performance than it did when he started. After he announced no foreign exchange controls on exporters, the rouble regained its composure somewhat. [All graphs courtesy of Stooq.com.]


The zloty (considered by FX traders in New York and London as the currency of a former Soviet republic or something like that) did that same dip as the rouble - but then kept on falling. The zloty is traded around the clock, so while rouble trading ceased for the day at 18:00 CET, zlotys are still being bought and sold as I write.




Let's look at other parts of the former Soviet Union, as perceived by dimmer members of the foreign exchange community... Czechoslovakia - (hang on - consults Wikipedia) - er... Czech Republic...



Uh... and...err... Hungaria...



See the resemblance? What's the difference between these countries? They are somewhere between the eurozone and Russia. Never mind the different fundamentals and forecasts, it's perceptions that count.

Having galloped along towards their Christmas bonuses, the FX traders sniffed an opportunity to make a very quick (and not insignificant) buck. The weakening of the three Central European currencies are good news to exporters in the region, but somehow I doubt it will hold. Having breeched the 5.40 = 1 GBP barrier, the zloty is stabilising and my bet is that market fundamentals will see some profit-taking and a return to 5.25 = 1 GBP before the New Year. The strong pound is also good news to the hundreds of thousands of Poles working in the UK who remit money to their families in Poland - an extra 15 grosze for every pound they send home.

I took advantage of today's sharp move spotting an opportunity to sell sterling at the top of the tree. If you want to shift GBPs into PLNs, don't - whatever you do - use the services of the UK high street banks - they will fleece you. I used the services of OneMoneyMail (Sami Swoi), negotiating a far better exchange rate than the high street banks would offer (like 10+ grosze to the pound better), and a mere fiver for next-day transfer to my Polish bank account. Very easy and convenient service - I was amazed at how quickly it all went.

Back to macroeconomic fundamentals though. Politicians can huff and puff and make all sorts of pronouncements. But, to quote Daniel Gross from the Daily Beast: "The currency markets can't be bought off... They are faceless, merciless and swift. Every day, they are passing judgment on regimes around the world. Russia's caving rouble doesn't just make Putin look bad, it has real and instant effects at home...
[the] hedge funds, financial institutions, individual investors, companies and central banks that make up the vast foreign-currency exchange market are turning against Putin. They are not punishing Russia because they don't like the country's geopolitics. They are doing so because they don't like the underlying trends that dictate the relative value of the rouble."

So - are the markets punishing Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic because of their underlying trends?

In Poland's case, the value of exports match the value of imports. There is good economic growth (3.3% in the third quarter of this year), falling unemployment, price stability and political stability. Which is why I've bet on the zloty regaining its lost ground by the end of this year.

Let's take a long-term view then - here's the Polish zloty against the pound over the past ten years:


...And here's the rouble:


This is the underlying fundamental story - one economy has diversified, globalised, opened up to foreign investment, innovated - the other is totally dependent on the sale of natural resources, plundered from the state by a gang of ex-spooks hell-bent on enriching themselves.

This time last year:
Muddy Karczunkowska

This time three years ago:
Ul. Trombity - a step closer to dry feet?

This time four years ago:
Matters of style

This time five years ago:
Real winter hits Warsaw

This time six years ago:
This is not Mazowsze, no?

Sunday, 14 December 2014

End-of-year classic car quiz

Eight British classics snapped in the UK over the course of 2014. Can anyone accurately say what they are? Extra points for model year plus any additional info... A chance for the Inner Anorak to emerge and shine!

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8
This time last year:
The poet's gift - an exploration into Why One Writes

This time three years ago:
Advertising H&M on Warszawa Centralna station

This time five years ago:
Jeziorki in the snow

This time seven years ago:
Staying Underground: Piccadilly Circus

Saturday, 13 December 2014

Snow or no snow?

A catch-up post from Wednesday, 10 December. I wake up, look out of my bedroom window and see - snow? Not forecast for today... strange. I get dressed and set off for work.


Stepping outside - a light dusting of snow - or freezing fog? Or a bit of both?


I wait for the bus. It takes me to Ursynów, where there's no snow on the pavements - only frost on the trees. So it looks like Jeziorki did get a light dusting today.


Sub-zero all day long. By the morning of Thursday 11 December, back above freezing. And on Saturday 13 December, the temperature briefly nudged +10C. Below: the corner of ul. Kórnicka and Trombity.


A long time-exposure, ul. Trombity looking towards the lake in the distance.


This time three years ago:
Old manual-focus Nikkor 28mm lens attached to Nikon D40

This time four years ago:
What's the Polish for 'pattern'?

This time seven years ago:
"Rorate caeli de super nubes pluant justum..."

Thursday, 11 December 2014

Pluses and minuses of PKP InterCity

Another day trip, this time to Kraks. On the 08:35 from W-wa Zachodnia to Kraków Gł. And Ekspres InterCity (EIC), 120zł (£21.40) ticket, twice the price of a TLK train between the two cities. Tickets booked online; PKP has got over its great Spendolino ticket reservation debacle. Train arrives on time, not a great achievement, seeing as it started at W-wa Wschodnia, with only W-wa Centralna in between. I board, carriage 9, seat 16. Newish carriages, airliner-style, no compartments - windows plastered over with huge adverts for T-mobile's free on-board wi-fi service.

So far so good. Now for my my litany of woe...

My seat is in the second row from the front of the carriage - the automatic sliding glass door is stuck in the open position. As the train picks up speed, the wind begins to howl mercilessly through the gaping aperture and into the open carriage. Passengers have allocated seating - and anyway, the train is full so you can't just get up and wander off in search of a warmer seat. Fortunately I'm wearing my M-65 parka, which I use to protect myself from the elements. When the guard finally arrives to check our tickets, he admits that not even he can shut this door.

The much-touted wi-fi. There's a T-mobile ad in front of every seat in the train. It's a pity, then, that on both of my devices, laptop and smartofon, the bloody wi-fi doesn't work at all. Neither on my laptop nor my smartphone. And the new airliner-style carriages, which have electrical sockets between each seat - well, the one by my seat didn't work. The passenger sat next to me set off down the train in search of a free seat with no howling gale and a working socket. I slept comfortably for an hour and half snuggled into my parka.

Because I'm sleeping, I'm not too fussed that what is shown on my ticket as a 'window seat' is actually next to a windowless wall; and even if I were sat next to a piece of translucent glass, the view would be somewhat limited thanks to those huge adverts for non-working wi-fi applied to the entire outside of the carriages.

Each EIC carriage has a digital indicator telling passengers how fast the train is going, what the temperature is outside, when the train is due to reach its destination, date, time, whose imieniny it is today etc. Fine, except the indicator is not working in our carriage.

On the plus side - this being an EIC train, passengers are entitled to complimentary tea and biscuit. And - to my great surprise - our train arrives in Kraków on time. And - to my great surprise - the toilet was clean and worked. Soap, hot water, paper towels. A small miracle. At Kraków I pop into Companeros for three crispy-shelled tacos filled with beef, salad and jalapeno peppers.

Right then - train home. Leaving Kraks Gł at 18:18, I find my seat. Carriage 9, seat 25. This time, the carriage is not plastered with an ad for wi-fi (all the other second-class carriages making up this train are). Again, the door is broken. Not so badly broken as on the trip down, as it will, with a bit of puffing and pulling, close and open. (Now I think back, on my last trip up from Kraks to W-wa, the door of my EIC carriage was spontaneously opening and closing all the time of its own accord.) Something very wrong with these automatic sliding doors. The wi-fi is still not working. Below: Your Application's Failed. 'Network disabled because Internet connection is slow'



The socket (now that I do need it, with my smartofon on 5% charge) is working. Hurrah! I get my tea and biscuit and all is well with the world. Now I have a proper window seat, I can't see squat through it, but that's because it's dark outside.

I look at the train timetable on my phone via the excellent Bilkom app. It says our train is due in at W-wa Zachodnia at 21:19. My train from W-wa Zachodnia to W-wa Jeziorki is due at 21:24. Just five minutes margin. If the InterCity from Kraks is more than five minutes late, it's an hour's wait for the next train home. Worry worry worry. Especially when the train is crawling through Grodzisk Mazowiecki at walking pace (again the indicator in the carriage with speed, expected arrival time etc is not working). But then after Grodzisk we speed up. Indeed, the train is doing great. We arrive at W-wa Zachodnia ten minutes ahead of schedule - so I have a full quarter of an hour to make the leisurely stroll across the platforms to catch the train to Jeziorki.

So, Mr Dembinski - what's your point? My point is that rather than spending squillions on the Spendolino trains, PKP should focus on getting right the existing services. Not sending out broken carriages, not advertising wi-fi before they get it working.

Just under three hours to cover the 300km between Kraków and Warsaw is not good enough. I'd be happy with two and half in a train that worked properly. Beats driving, taking a bus or flying.

Polish railways will be getting a lot of EU money - this means the public eye and political scrutiny will glaring at them intensely between now and 2020. Will they be greatly improved by then? Or same old story as before? I'm slightly more optimistic - but only slightly. I really hope that this time, they get it right.

This time last year:
When transportation breaks down

This time This time three years ago:
Take me back to Tulsa

This time five years ago:
Another book launch

This time six years ago:
Jeziorki in the 16th Century

This time seven years ago:
Rotten weather, literally

Tuesday, 9 December 2014

Zen and the Art of Publishing

- For my brother, Marek.

Marek passed me his copy of Robert Pirsig's Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance (ZAMM), which has absorbed me fully over the past two weeks. On the cover, it says "This book will change the way you think and feel about your life" – a big claim to make. And yet this is one of those influential books that did indeed change – directly or indirectly – the thinking of an entire generation.

The Dawning of the Age of Aquarius – the New Age – an age that rejects both the rational/ technological and the irrationality of established belief systems – is only hinted to in the book. As my brother said, its flavour is bow-ties, crew-cuts and plaid sports coats rather than long hair, bell-bottoms and embroidered kaftans. Written in 1968, eventually published in 1974, there's no mention of the Vietnam War, pop culture, love-ins, be-ins or psychedelia.

This is a book about ideas. It is a road novel, interspersed by lectures about Ancient Greek philosophy, and how it has impinged upon the way Modern Man sees the world. Important concepts are mulled over; the split between Romantic and Classic, the logos and the mythos, moving inexorably from Dualism ('the mind and the body are separate') to the Monism (or holism – we are all One, the universe is One) of the New Age. Pirsig seeks that oneness through an exploration of the concept of 'quality', a search that had once driven him mad.

For this is also a book about mental illness.

Robert M. Pirsig was a boy genius, whose IQ of 170 got him into university at the age of 15. Of course he didn't fit in; today, he'd be diagnosed as a savant with high-functioning autism. Then, at the age of 20 he enlisted in the US Army, to serve in Korea (two years before the war broke out there). This exposed him to Eastern philosophy, an entirely new way of seeing the world. He studied in India, then went back to college in America, lectured, got married, fathered two sons – and a major mental breakdown that ended up with him receiving electroconvulsive shock therapy. Part of his brain was destroyed. Was he 'cured'? We know little more about the human brain today than we did in the 1960s, but even that is far more that was known then.

The book is set in 1968; Pirsig, his son Chris (then 11) and family friends, the Sutherlands, set off for a cross-country motorbike ride from Minnesota to Montana. From there, the Sutherlands return home, while Robert and Chris stay on in Montana with Pirsig's friends from college days; after a hike in the mountains, Robert and Chris ride off towards San Francisco. All the while, Pirsig is reliving his pre-breakdown life, referring to his past self in the third person as 'Phaedrus', and analysing the way American universities teach.


Pre-digital, pre-smartphone, pre-social media apps, Pirsig's world seems technologically innocent. The cross-country ride is punctuated by meditations upon the maintenance of his motorcycle, and his friend John's lack of maintenance thereof. Whether it be 'motorcycle', 'automobile', 'lawnmower' or 'dishwasher', we are surrounded by things that need Maintenance. Although of course, the less Maintenance required the better. Maintaining things is not an activity we like doing...

Pirsig's approach is analytical, analysing not only the object that needs maintenance, but the subject - and what you need to get it done – gumption. He identifies the 'gumption traps' – the things that stop us from getting a maintenance job done, be it internal (mood, adverse reaction to setbacks) or external (lack of the right tool) etc.

Yet since the 1960s, the things that surround us require less and less maintenance. Take the internal combustion engine. The change from carburetor to fuel injection means that instead of one, simple, yet prone to malfunction, yet easy-to-fix carburetor, we have the far-more-reliable yet impossible-to-fix fuel injector. Several of the mechanical problems encountered on Pirsig's route were carburetor-related. These days should your fuel injector break – you're stuffed – but the chances of this happening are thousands of times more remote than the likelihood of a carburetor malfunction. Since the automotive industry makes hundreds of millions of units a year, the price of a fuel injector is lower than the cost of a mechanic's time to fix it. And Total Quality Management, Six Sigma, Kaizen and other manufacturing practices ensure that hardly any faulty components leave the factory. The competitive market means that year on year, the need for maintenance of the technology that surrounds us is far less than it was just 40 years ago. [Incidentally, Polish lacks a good word for 'maintenance'... 'konserwacja'? Konserwuje się ogórki...]

Pirsig, steeped in Eastern as well as Western philosophical tradition, is in pursuit of 'quality' as a value, as the value; from zen to the Greek concept of Arete, he is looking for wholeness, oneness, unity. The book's title is a reference to Zen in the Art of Archery, by Eugen Herrigel, which contends that bow, bow-string, arrow, archer and target must be as one. Pirsig, by analogy, contends that motorcycle and rider must be one. For this to be, the rider must be in tune with his machine, conscious of its foibles and sensitive to early symptoms of an impending breakdown.

Pirsig's observations of academic life in American universities in the 1960s – before the liberals got hold of the educational establishment and swung the pendulum the other way – offers extremely good insights. Universities taught you to imitate, he wrote, not to innovate. Certainly this is no longer the case in the best US universities today, where the great inventions tend to flow from. And this passage - about the writings of a certain professor at the University of Chicago – still rings true when Polish professors are considered today... "one of the most ambiguous, inscrutable writing styles [I] had ever read. Here were encyclopaedic sentences that left subject and predicate completely out of shouting distance of one another. Parenthetic elements were inexplicably inserted within other parenthetic sentences, equally unexplainably inserted into sentences whose relevance to the preceding sentence in the reader's mind was dead and buried and decayed long before the arrival of the [full stop]". Remember, this is America half a century ago – things have moved on.

Why the title of this post? Well, there's little doubt that Robert Pirsig wrote a hugely influential book. Yet it's in the Guinness Book of Records as the book that was rejected by the highest number of publishers (121 in total), before going on to being a best-seller, with more than five million copies sold. JK Rawlings' 12 rejections before Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone was published by Bloomsbury look like a trivial setback in comparison. And then there was John Kennedy Toole, who wrote one of the funniest American novels of the 20th century – A Confederacy of Dunces, which was also rejected by publishers, leading to the author's suicide. [After his death, his mother, verging on insanity, obsessively touted his manuscript around until a publisher finally recognised its genius – and got the Pulitzer-prize winning novel published in 1980.]

When reading ZAMM, I can from see why 121 publishers rejected it. The book often rambles, goes off on tangents, is incredibly self-indulgent and introspective; it's no great travelogue (Pirsig's descriptions of America, as seen through the eyes of a man suffering from depressive episodes, does not make me want to re-trace his route – all seems dull, tired, listless, lonely). But it's not the travel writing that makes the book great – it's about ideas, it's about thinking, it's about the way you, me, them, everybody – perceive our lives.

Pirsig's unique voice bridges reductive, classicist Science and subjective, romantic Art and shows us a mind striving for unity. For the time it was written, ZAMM was a magnificently significant and paradigm-changing book. 

I remember it being passed around our sixth-form common room by the brighter boys in my year - I doubt they took away from it too much at that reading. But reading it today, with the benefit of maturity and experience, I can appreciate its place in the Canon of Cult Books, along with Bulgakov's Master and Margarita, James Joyce's Finnegans Wake, Hunter S. Thompson's Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas, Joseph Heller's Catch 22, and of course John Kennedy Toole's A Confederacy of Dunces.

Thinking about those publisher rejections, I can't help wondering how many works of similar greatness lie unpublished because the author did not have the gumption to carry on submitting their work after being turned down time and again.

This time last year:
On being rich in Poland

This time two years ago:
Wrocław, another Polish city of neon

This time three years ago:
Ronald Reagan remembered

This time four years ago:
Accident of birth

This time five years ago:
Under the Liberator

This time six years ago:
Jeziorki on old maps

Wednesday, 3 December 2014

Poland's progress: international rankings season

It's that time of year again when nations are scrutinised and ranked according to parameters which determine where global business should locate its activities. Last week, the World Bank published its Doing Business ranking, in which Poland advanced once again (from 45th to 38th in terms of ease of doing business). And EF, a language training company, published its English Proficiency Index, which placed Poland as sixth best (!) in the non-native English-speaking world in terms of its population's mastery of the de facto global language. Poland is among the fastest-improving countries in the world when it comes to knowing English.

Today, Transparency International published its Corruption Perception Index, looking at how corruption is perceived across 175 countries around the world. For the ninth year in a row, Poland did better than the year before, albeit the pace of improvement has slowed down.


This is a clear wake-up call to Ms Kopacz's government not to take its eye off the ball. Although Poland is not slipping, the pace of improvement is far slower than in the first two years of the Tusk administration, when the leaps away from Millerite corruption were most noticeable. Whether you tend to be left-leaning or right-leaning (or, like me, seek balance), corruption is something we can all agree on needs to be extirpated with extreme prejudice.

Look at the graph below which puts Poland into the context of other former communist states. Poland has clearly distanced itself not only from the Balkans and the post-Soviet space, but also from the rest of Central and Eastern Europe. Only Estonia, a country that's more Scandinavian than Slavic ranks ahead of Poland. The distance between the UK and Poland (17 points and 21 positions) is smaller than between Poland and Romania (18 points and 34 positions). And this year Ukraine advanced (marginally) from its dire 2013 ranking, while Russia slipped back. Note the effect that EU membership has had on these countries. And note also the general connection between low corruption and high standards of living.


EU membership has brought huge benefits to Poland, not least in terms of the quality of its public administration, now able to share best practices across the member states, better and clearer (though still a long way off perfection) laws and regulations, and a lack of tolerance to corruption. Gone forever are the days when a well-stuffed envelope can buy you the necessary planning permit from the town hall, or a large banknote can let you off a drunk-driving charge.


Foreign investors are looking for transparency, stability and predictability; when investing with a 20- to 30-year timeframe, a government that grasps, wheedles and wobbles is not going to be a good place to build a factory, warehouse or shopping mall, no matter how cheap the labour or the land.

The quality of a country's institutions is paramount; effective, productive public administrators able to carry out their functions quickly and well is crucial to the citizens' well-being.

So a big thank-you to the World Bank, to the World Economic Forum, to Transparency International and to other institutions, NGOs and think-tanks that take the time to compare countries and rank them. Governments take notice, citizens take notice. Governments that fail to deliver improvements get democratically booted out.

This time last year:
The Transparency International Corruption Perception Index for 2013

Also this time last year:
Poland's rapid advance up the education league table: PISA 2013

This time two years ago:
Life expectancy across the EU: more comparisons

Tuesday, 2 December 2014

Lessons from the Gas Bill

It's that time again, when the first gas bill of the sezon grzewczy ('heating season') drops into the letterbox.

As I wrote the last time PGNiG billed me for gas, the way the billing is calculated has been changed. What counts now is not how many cubic metres of gas we burn in our boilers and stoves, but how many kilowatt hours of energy we consume.

My father explained why this is actually good news for the consumer - gas comes in different calorific flavours; sometimes it burns well (catching the first time when we light our gas hobs in the kitchen); at other times the hob is going 'click click click' and nothing happens, and once it does catch, the flame dies when we release the knob too early.

As PGNiG gets most of its gas from the belligerent Mr Putin and his Gazprom (a gas company attached to a massive army), the quality of the gas needs to be checked. So with each bill, we get a calculation as to how many kilowatt hours of energy can be extracted from a cubic metre of gas. The other good thing about sending gas bills this way, says my father, is it allows you to compare gas bills to electricity bills, which also come in kilowatt hours. A 40-Watt bulb, burning for 25 hours, consumes one kilowatt-hour.

In this gas bill, the conversion factor showing how much energy expressed in kilowatt hours is extracted out of each cubic metre of gas is 11.21. Last time it was 11.18. So Mr Putin has actually been sending us better quality gas - but if things get rough, his minions could send PGNiG gas of lower calorific value. Or just air thinly blended with hydrocarbon. But because the Polish consumer now pays for the energy extracted from the gas rather than simply cubic metres burned, the new way of measuring our gas consumption protects us from potential machlojki.

So the gas bill may be harder to read, but it's worth the effort to work out what's really going on. The billing dates are different - in the past, the gas bill would be for two months (from the first day of one month to the last day of the second month). Now, it jumps (this gas bill was for a ten-week period). I hope it will now settle down back into a bi-monthly rhythm. Still, working it out in an Excel spreadsheet, as I've been doing for the past eight years, allows you to easily analyse and compare the true state of things.

Looking back at October and November last year and comparing the same 61-day period this year, I make a heart-warming discovery - our gas usage this year is a full 29.9% lower! WOW! Was it the warm autumn? Or a conscious effort on our part to save gas and thus reduce the amount of money Gazprom can pass to the Kremlin to spend on rockets and bombs and bullets?

One way or another, efforts are being made to keep lowering the gas bill. Draughts are being eliminated by placing blankets under doors. A new trapdoor to the attic with reflective aluminium foil and expanded polystyrene is being constructed for us by Pan Wiesław. And a small downward adjustment to the thermostats keeps the house comfortable without it ever being allowed to get too hot.

PGNiG customers - do keep a sharp eye on your gas bill, do what you can to limit your usage. It's good for your wallet, it's good for the environment, it's good for geopolitics.

This time last year:
Keep watching Ukraine...

This time two years ago:
Gripes about our telecoms operator
[two years later, the bill is halved, the quality vastly improved.]

This time three years ago:
Jeremy Clarkson suggests shooting civil servants dead in front of their families

This time four years ago:
Chaos as first snow disrupts rail travel

This time five years ago:
A walk to work
[how Jeziorki has changed since then!]

This time seven years ago:
Act One, Scene One - A Blasted Heath