Wednesday, 13 May 2026

Rain – at last

March and April this year were the driest March and April in Poland since records began. May began in a similar vein; bright days, few clouds, but with a cold northerly wind. This wind helped evaporate moisture from the topsoil. The long weeks of snow cover were helpful but could not remediate in full the hydrological shortages that have afflicted Poland. Walking into the forest in recent weeks, the ground was covered by dry leaves from autumn that hadn't yet mulched down into the earth ; the forest trails were soft sand, like walking on a beach. 

Usually, listening to the UK weather forecasts on BBC Radio 4, I'd could reckon that the frontal systems lashing the British Isles will typically reach Poland in three days' time, although bearing less rain and with thinner clouds. But this year, a dominant high pressure system from the Arctic blocked the typical Atlantic moisture from reaching central Poland.

The climate is changing, and not in any kind of predictable fashion.

The rain finally came on Monday, little at first. There was that sweet smell of petrichor as those large raindrops fell on the parched earth. Yesterday it rained for several hours. What a blessing! Single-digit cold though; for my first walk I put on a woollen cardigan under my waterproof jacket – not enough. For my second walk I pulled out my field jacket with thick winter lining. This morning, my outdoor thermometers read 5°C. 

The rain that fell yesterday was of critical importance for a landscape that has been under significant stress. This year's transition to spring was jarringly dry. This created a 'green drought'. By early May, the agricultural sector in southern Mazovia was reporting significant soil moisture deficits. For farmers and growers, the lack of rain combined with the drying effects of the north wind had put early-season crops at risk.

Yesterday's precipitation gave the region has its first proper soaking in several weeks. The rain fell long enough and in sufficient amounts to penetrate the hard-packed surface layer.

Forests in Poland had been approaching level 3 (the highest) fire risk; yesterday’s moisture has temporarily lowered that danger. The north winds had been kicking up significant topsoil and pollen, which yesterday’s rain finally cleared from the air.

Below: on my second walk, between the rains, Jakubowizna, just ahead of the sunset. This is exactly the spot where Wenusia and I met on 5 January last year, a moment that would flip me into the world of cats.

The region will need more rain over the coming weeks to fully recover from the dry start to the year.

Left: the indentation in the asphalt outside my neighbours' house forms a useful marker of rainfall. It holds water well; the puddle in it right now shows that the past 24 hours have indeed witnessed a decent dose of the wet stuff.

Meanwhile, the ice saints are here, having arrived on cue. Or 'zimni ogrodnicy' as they are called in Polish. Today is St Servatus' day; yesterday was the feast of St Pancras, tomorrow it will be the turn of St Boniface, and on Friday – zimna Zosia, the feastday of 'cold Sophia'.

More rain is forecast to follow over the next few days, with a high likelihood of persistent rain from Friday through to Monday. Good.

With the exception of old Hipek, the cats spent the night outdoors, came in for breakfast, went out to do their business, and quickly returned home for a comfortable, warm, indoor snooze. Céleste is nicely pregnant; I expect she will deliver this year's batch of kittens within the next week to week and half.

Below: with Céleste in our favourite spot in the forest next door, where I'd often come with Wenusia when she was pregnant. The threat of forest fire has been much reduced.

This time last year:
Days such as this will come back

This time two years ago:
All along the watchtowers

This time three years ago:
Blossom, sunshine and trains, Chynów

This time four years ago:
A better tomorrow for the soul


This time seven years ago:
This time 11 years ago:
Then and now: Trafalgar Square (recreating my father's photos)

This time 13 years ago:
Reflection upon the City Car

This time 15 years ago:
Biblical sky

This time 16 years ago:
Travel broadens the spirit
[Today I'd argue that not travelling deepens the spirit]

This time 17 years ago:
Welcome the Ice Saints

This time 19 years ago:
On the farm next door

Saturday, 9 May 2026

Disclosure or distraction?

To those who (like me) follow the UFO story, Friday's release of formerly classified material from the US government was a bit 'meh'. Yeah, we know most of this stuff. Nothing groundbreaking from this (rather small) data dump that nevertheless is destined to enter UFO lore, and enrich the cultural mythology. Nothing that will shed new light on the UFO phenomenon. Much of what was released was well-known to UFologists, now it's finally been admitted to. So how should we see this: as a further admission from the US government that we share our planet with alien beings? Or as a distraction from the fact that the war Trump started is a mess which he can neither end by either force nor diplomacy, and is driving up the cost of living? 

Or could it be both?

Before diving in, let me start with a few words about terminology. The term 'UFO' – 'unidentified flying object', was devised by the US Air Force in 1952 to supplant 'flying saucer', which by the late 1940s had entered mainstream usage. And, since around 2020, the term 'UFO' is itself being replaced in official sources by 'UAP', or 'unidentified anomalous (sometimes 'aerial') phenomenon'. The word 'phenomenon' is more accurate than 'object', as it also covers non-material occurrences. And 'anomalous' is a broader concept than 'aerial', as it includes everything that cannot readily be explained, wherever it is witnessed – in space, under the water or on the ground.

Similarly, 'non-human intelligence' (NHI) is the new and more accurate term for 'aliens', since there's no evidence that these alleged beings are extraterrestrial. They could be extratemporal (from a future Earth) or extradimensional (from a fifth dimension of which physics is currently unaware). Or cryptoterrestrial – the intelligence associated with these anomalous sightings might co-inhabit the planet with us (under the oceans, for instance).

Having cleared that up – what have we got?

In February, on a TV interview, Barack Obama seemed to admit that aliens were real, prompting Trump to weigh in and say that Obama shouldn't have been giving away classified information. Trump then went on to promise that he'd start declassifying UAP material from Pentagon, FBI, CIA and NASA archives. And so it proved to be. Compared to the Kennedy assassination or Epstein dumps, which numbered into the millions of files, this upload of formerly classified documents was modest.

Let's start by assuming that the Trump administration is not sufficiently smart to make up a lot of CGI/AI videos and upload them to a gullible public. There is track record. There is form. Investigative journalists and researchers in this field know what's out there in the classified world, and simply making up a whole bunch of phony UFO videos wouldn't cut the mustard.

So is this disclosure or acclimatisation? Getting humanity ready to accept, without a mass freak-out, that Homo sapiens is not the only form of intelligent, technological life on Planet Earth, has to a decades-long process, not an overnight announcement. This is another step in confirmation, a confession from (primarily) the US military that there are anomalous phenomena across all four domains – space, sky, land and sea – that it cannot explain, and rather than covering up that they don't know what they don't know, at least to come out and say "here's what we cannot explain".

What do we know, what do they know, what do they pretend they don't know?

The key thing is lore and what is and what isn't accepted in lore.

UAP have been around since the dawn of human history, showing up in the Bible (for example Ezekiel's Wheel), in the Middle Ages, as pixies, elves and fairies; there was a spate of mysterious airship sightings over America in the 1890s. However, the current spate of sightings really began to build up concrete lore around them after WW2 – the Kenneth Arnold sightings and the Roswell incident (1947). Historically, the sightings have been closely correlated to military or civilian nuclear sites. Roswell, for example, was the site of the world's first (and at the time only) base for atomic bombers.

There are four main components to UAP lore. Each is tightly interwoven with eyewitness accounts that corroborate, they have internal narrative structure that's logical and hard to undermine.

1) Earth is being visited by non-human intelligence. This has been going on for millennia, but the visits have become far more frequent since H. sapiens learned to harness the energy of the atom. The visitors may be short bipedal creatures with large heads and big eyes. Or they may be tall, blond, Nordic-looking humanoids, or giant praying mantis-type insects, or ghostly interdimensional 'shadow people' that pop in and out of existence. Lore suggests that multiple alien species may be visiting us, with different agendas, some benign, others not, perhaps even at war with each other.

2) NHI craft have crashed on multiple occasions, the wreckage recovered, and (to a greater or lesser degree of success) reverse-engineered by the US (possibly also by the Russians and Chinese). The testimony of Bob Lazar, who claims to have worked at the classified Area 51 on the Nevada Test and Training Range in the 1980s, has been backed up by other whistleblowers since then. But here the lore is split. Some ufologists claim that the US had long possessed working craft based on reverse-engineered alien tech; others say that science is still a long way off from even understanding the physics behind the alien tech (imagine the top geniuses of the Renaissance trying to reverse-engineer a mobile phone). Especially if it is guided telepathically. 

3) Humans are being abducted by the NHI, possibly with the aim of creating a hybrid species. Alien abduction lore dates back to the early 1960s (Betty and Barney Hill). In the 1980s, academics John E. Mack and David M. Jacobs claimed that alien abductions were a mass phenomenon. Author Whitley Strieber's account of his alleged alien abduction, Communion, topped US non-fiction book sales charts for six months in 1987, and was made into a movie in 1989. By 1991, 3.7 million Americans claimed to have been abducted by aliens.

4) The US government has been covering up all of the above – UFO projects Sign (1947), Grudge (1949) and Blue Book(1952-1969) all ended up saying "nothing to see here". The US government is said to have had contact with alien races since the mid-1950s; a shadowy group (Majestic 12) knows the full truth which only some US presidents have been privy to; the secret is maintained by the men in black who intimidate UFO witnesses. Within the government there are those who press for controlled disclosure, while other groups are intent on keeping the whole thing above top secret. Controlled disclosure means acclimatising humanity to the idea, with a steady drip of media (films such as Close Encounters of the Third Kind) and official confirmation. [Steven Spielberg's next film, Disclosure Day, premiers on 12 June. Yes, it's about aliens.]

The current UAP era began in December 2017 with the publication in the New York Times of an article by Leslie Kean, Ralph Blumenthal and Helene Cooper (behind paywall). "Glowing Auras and 'Black Money': The Pentagon's Mysterious U.F.O. Program".The article added vast amount of new information to the corpus of the lore; the existence of the Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program (AATIP), which ran from 2007 to 2012 to analyse classified reports of UAPs from the US military. AATIP came up with the notion of the 'five observables': anti-gravity lift; instantaneous acceleration and manoeuvres; hypersonic velocities without sonic booms or vapour trails; low observability or cloaking; and trans-medium travel (moving seamlessly from space to air to water). 

In December, I was talking to a British lawyer here in Warsaw about UFOs. His reaction to me raising the topic was knee-jerk: "Only nutters believe in that sort of thing". Outright dismissal, a total lack of curiosity. Despite the fact that the US military has whole programmes investigating the phenomenon (currently the All-Domain Anomaly Resolution Office). Despite the thousands of verified sightings by pilots, radar operators and other trained professionals. It people such as this lawyer that will experience the greatest ontological shock when confronted with solid evidence – scientific proof – that humanity is indeed sharing this planet with another species of intelligent being.

It is likely that newly declassified files and videos will be released soon. The big questions are: will they prove the existence of an NHI presence on Earth? And will following releases be used to distract from ongoing political problems?

This time six years ago:
Things will never be the same again: Pt III – Risk

This time nine years ago:
En Marche! [Polish regional bus 'network']

This time 12 years ago:
Jeziorki spring pictorial

This time 13 years ago:
Kitten time

This time 14 years ago:
Warsaw – Centrum to Jeziorki by train with super-wide lens

This time 15 years ago:
Loose Lips Sink Ships - part II

This time 16 years ago:
Jeziorki in the infra red

This time 17 years ago:
Some rain, at last!
[could do with some right now...]


Thursday, 7 May 2026

The Terms of Trade – a short story (Pt V)

[Part IV here.]

That such a sequence of events, with its particular names and places, should present itself to me in a dream, over 145 years later is not easy to account for with classical cause-and-effect physics.  

My dream, which I had on the morning of Sunday 3 May, was unlike the run-of-the-mill dreams I'll have most nights. The three unities are preserved; time (1880), place (the City of London, Luxembourg) and action (a court case arising from an ambiguity in a telegram). The dream was vivid – the names 'Gormally' (who was Irish) and 'Kuhn' (who was Jewish) came through loud and clear; I could feel the atmosphere of their office in Victorian London; I could see them flicking through maroon-bound books of law in the courtroom. I felt that Gormally's career had taken off very suddenly, and that the commodity that these traders specialised in was salt. The dream also spoke of anarchists, whose actions may or may not have led to the issues that ended up in court.

I had the framework of a story; automatic writing. Not something I'd made up; something that had come to me in a dream. This is the fifth such case. Previous dream-inspired short stories have taken me back to London in 1964, London in the 1950s,  Heathrow Airport in 2023, eastern Poland in 1831 and Moscow in 1952. This phenomenon is fascinating. There is no effort required on my part to devise a story; all I needed to do was to have recognised the significance of the dream on waking and jot down as much as I could remember.

So on Sunday morning (coffee first!) I opened my laptop. I made extensive use of AI (ChatGPT and Google Gemini), cross-checking one against the other to avoid hallucinations or confabulations, grounding the basic points from the dream in historical facts. Yes, said both AIs – the places, the dates, the plot – all were historically plausible. My dream had got them right! I just had to beat the story into shape. I add some details; freemasonry, the Magic Flute. Both plausible, historically accurate. I'm still in the flow.

But where from the dream? The setting – the City of London, Bricktorian Britain, 19th century railways, I can feel the atmosphere. I'm thinking of the opening pages of Erskine Childers' The Riddle of the Sands with its description of London as Imperial capital. The setting is familiar. But the narrative? Did it happen as I dreamt it? 

And here I get metaphysical. In an infinite universe, yes, the events must have unfolded exactly as I described them in some parallel world. Mathematically, infinity would be able to encompass everything that happened.

Did something leak through to my consciousness as I slept?

One writes it down, and one leaves it there.

This time three years ago:
Transitioning from Owl to Lark
[Woke up today at 05:30!]

This time four years ago:
Hills... I gotta have hills

This time 15 years ago:
'Old school' = pre-war

This time 16 years ago:
Britain chooses a coalition government

This time 17 years ago:
Landing over Ursynów

This time 18 years ago:
On being assertive in Poland

Wednesday, 6 May 2026

The Terms of Trade – a short story (Pt IV)

[Part III here.]

The journey to Luxembourg was undertaken in November, after the weather had turned. The days were short, bleak, damp and windy. Nights were getting ever longer. For Gormally, this was his first journey to the Continent. Kuhn, whose forebears hailed from there, felt more at home. The papers were carried in a leather case, tied with tape; Gormally, who had assembled them, knew their order without looking, and could have recited the sequence of messages as one might recite a lesson learned by heart.

A steam packet took them across a choppy sea to Calais, and thence by rail across a country that seemed, to Gormally, somehow strange and familiar at the same time. The train ran through fields already stripped, the hedges bare, the grey villages set close about their churches. At the larger stations there were delays – small ones, nothing that could not be explained – but Kuhn noted them all the same, as though each interruption confirmed something he had long suspected.

“It is the same everywhere,” he said once, as they stood upon a platform waiting for a connection that did not come at the appointed time. “We imagine the system as continuous. It is not so. It is a series of parts, each subject to its own failure.” Gormally thought of the wire, of the way a message travelled without visible interruption, and said nothing.

Kuhn had travelled extensively across Western Europe, but he had never been to Luxembourg. It turned out to be smaller than he had expected. The town, set upon its rock, seemed less a place of trade than of administration, its buildings solid, its streets orderly, its people speaking mainly French, but some German. Their hotel, close to the court, was small and clean.

Kuhn and Gormally were received by a local avocat, engaged by the house that had transmitted the claim. He was a careful man, courteous, precise, who listened more than he spoke and who, when he did speak, chose his words as though each were to be entered into a record.

“You will understand,” he said, as he laid out the papers upon the table in his office, “that the matter will be considered upon the documents. The court will wish to see the sequence, the exact terms, the times at which the communications were made. Oral explanations are of less weight.”

Kuhn inclined his head. “We are prepared,” he said.

The hearing took place two days later, in a room that was neither large nor imposing, but which nevertheless possessed a certain gravity. Three judges sat together at a raised table, the presiding judge in the centre, the others slightly behind. There was no jury. There was no sense of an audience. Those present were there for the purpose of the matter and no other.

The proceedings were conducted in French. Kuhn and Gormally's avocat translated where necessary, though much of what was said could be followed by reference to the papers themselves, which lay before the court in ordered bundles.

The telegrams were read.

It was done slowly, each message taken in turn, the dates and times noted, the words rendered into French with a care that seemed to Gormally to alter them even as it preserved them. Phrases that had been, in their original form, quick and provisional, acquired a different quality when set down in another language, one more accustomed, it seemed, to definition.

Gormally experienced a revelation: while the common law of England might seek the spirit of a bargain, the Continent's code-based system demanded only the letter. It was a machinery of words, and he had been caught in the gears.

Condition de l’expédition dans quatorze jours, strict,” read the clerk, and Gormally felt the word take on a weight it had not borne in his own hand.

Their avocat rose to speak. He set out the facts as Gormally and Kuhn had understood them: the urgency of the Hamburg request; the customary nature of such terms; the efforts made to secure shipment; the interruption of traffic beyond their control. He referred, without emphasis, to reports of disturbances upon the railway, to delays not of their making. He spoke of good faith.

The other side replied. Their advocat was more emphatic. He spoke of obligation, of the clarity of the condition as expressed, of the reliance placed upon it. He did not dwell upon the cause of the delay. It was, he suggested, irrelevant. What mattered was that the terms had not been met.

One of the judges asked: “At what time was the acceptance received?”

There was a brief consultation. The time was given.

“And the confirmation?” he asked.

The answer followed.

There was a small interval between the two – minutes, no more. It had not seemed significant at the time. Set out now, it formed part of a sequence, each element fixed.

The presiding judge leaned forward slightly.

“In your confirmation,” he said, addressing their avocat, “you repeat the term of fourteen days. Do you not?”

“It is mentioned, yes,” said the avocat.

“And without qualification,” said the judge.

“Our clients understood it as descriptive of the expected period,” said the avocat. “Not as a condition altering the nature of the acceptance.”

The judge nodded, acknowledging the distinction, and made a note.

Gormally sat very still. He watched as the papers were taken up and set down, as the words he had written were traced in another hand, as the meaning he had intended was separated from the meaning that might be drawn.

When it was over, there was no immediate pronouncement. The court would deliver its judgment in due course. They left as they had entered, quietly, the papers gathered, the sequence preserved. That evening, Kuhn had bought two tickets to see Mozart's Magic Flute at the Théâtre des Capucins, which Gormally said was profoundly uplifting.

The decision was given two days later, their fifth day in Luxembourg, by which time a harsh early frost had set in on the city; the anxiety and impotence of their situation adding to a sense of gloom that contrasted with the joy of watching the opera.

The judgment was written, as such decisions are, in a language of reasons. The court found that the acceptance, as expressed, had introduced a condition. No supposition of ill-will, no intent to cheat. But the confirmation, by repeating that condition, had accepted it. The failure to ship within the fourteen days, whether caused by interruption of traffic or not, constituted a breach. Damages were to be assessed accordingly.

Kuhn read the judgment in silence, then folded it and placed it with the others.

“It is as they must decide,” he said. “They have read what was written.”

Gormally did not at once reply. He had followed the reasoning, had seen the line by which the court had moved from one point to the next, each step justified by the one before. It was not unjust. It was, in its way, exact.

“We did not mean it so,” he said at last.

Kuhn looked at him.

“No,” he said. “But we wrote it so.”

They returned to London by the same route, the fields now more bare than before, the days shorter still. The office in Mincing Lane was as they had left it. The ledgers were there, the desks, the steady work of the business continuing, as it must, even in the face of loss.

In the weeks that followed, the figures were set down, the accounts adjusted, the obligations met as far as they could be met. The profit that had once seemed assured was not only gone, but reversed; the sum they were required to pay exceeded it many times. Kuhn bore it with a composure that did not conceal the extent of the blow.

For Gormally, the lesson was of another kind. He had learned to see a margin where others did not, to act when others hesitated. It had served him well. Yet here, in the reading of a few words, it had turned against him.

He continued to work, to reckon, to send and receive the messages upon which the business depended. But there was, from that time, a difference, slight but persistent, in the way he set down a phrase, in the pause before he committed it to paper.

It is a small thing, the placing of a word, the repetition of a term. It passes in a moment, carried by a boy along a street, tapped out upon a wire, received and read elsewhere. Yet it endures, fixed in ink, to be taken up again in another place, in another language, and given a weight it did not possess when first sent.

Kuhn felt obliged to mention the court case at the Lodge; the worshipful brothers expressed their concern at his company's loss, as well as their admiration for his frankness. There, but for the grace of the Great Architect... What happened to Kuhn could have happened to many another trader. A subscription was raised that certainly helped cover the company's immediate cash-flow needs. Kuhn accepted it with grace and gratitude in the spirit it was given.

The coda here.

This time nine years ago:
Have you ever woke up with bullfrogs on your mind?

This time ten years ago:
W-wa Okęcie modernisation

This time 11 years ago:
I buy a Nikon Coolpix A

This time 12 years ago:
More about the Ladder of Authority

This time 13 years ago:
By bike, south of Warsaw

This time 15 years ago:
Functionalist architecture in Warsaw

This time 16 years ago:
What's the Polish for 'to bully'?

This time 17 years ago:
Making plans

This time 18 years ago:
The setting sun stirs my soul

This time 19 years ago:
Rain ends the drought


Tuesday, 5 May 2026

The Terms of Trade – a short story (Pt III)

[Part II here.]

The confirmation, once sent, seemed to settle the matter. There were other wires that morning, and more the next; Liverpool responded, and arrangements were set in motion with a satisfactory speed. A vessel was engaged out of the Mersey, not the first choice but adequate; rail carriage was secured for the salt from Cheshire; the papers began to take shape – invoice, draft bill of lading, the financial instruments by which such a trade was given its formal existence. 

For a few days the business ran as expected. The figures held. Gormally allowed himself, in private, the thought that the margin might exceed his first calculation.

It was on the fourth day that the first irregularity appeared.

A telegram from Liverpool, brief and not entirely clear, spoke of delay in loading. Labour, it said, was uncertain. There had been disturbances on the line bringing wagons into the docks. The message was written in a hand not usually employed by their correspondent there, and bore a time mark that suggested it had been transmitted later than it ought.

Kuhn read it and placed it beside the others. “Ask for particulars,” he said.

Gormally did so. The reply, when it came, added little. There had been interference on the railway somewhere to the south; wagons had not arrived in sequence; the docks were crowded. It would, they said, be resolved shortly.

“Everything is shortly,” said Kuhn. “Until it is not.”

Gormally said nothing. He had already begun to reckon the days. Fourteen, from the time of confirmation. They had lost one in the exchange of messages, another in the arrangements. There was still room, but less than he would have liked.

He sent another wire, urging expedition, offering a small consideration for priority in loading. It was agreed to, though not without complaint. Money, he had learned, could hasten most things, though not always enough. He was at the mercy of tide and turn. A swift decision: rather than waiting for a steamer direct to Hamburg, the salt could be dispatched immediately to Ostend, and from there, by express freight rail to its destination. Gormally looked at the ledger, mentally scratching out the profit. This would eat significantly into Kuhn's margin, but would save the deal.

Two days passed. Then came the message that altered the complexion of the affair.

It did not come from Liverpool, but from the Continent, relayed through a line they did not commonly use. The address was that of a house in Luxembourg with which Kuhn had had occasional dealings – an intermediary in matters of credit, rather than of goods.

Gormally broke the seal and read.

RAILWAY INTERRUPTION BELGIAN LINE STOP TRAFFIC DELAYED STOP ADVISE POSITION SHIPMENT STOP

He took it at once to Kuhn.

“Belgium?” said Kuhn. “That is not our route.”

“It may become so,” said Gormally. “If they divert.”

Kuhn frowned. “Or if the information is second-hand. These relays they introduce their own errors.”

“Shall we reply?” said Gormally.

“Yes,” said Kuhn. “But say nothing we do not know.”

Gormally wrote stating that loading was in progress, that dispatch would be made without delay, that further advice would follow. He did not mention the fourteen days.

The days continued to pass. The telegrams from Liverpool grew more frequent, but not more reassuring. Wagons arrived, but not in the numbers required; loading began, halted, began again. There was talk of men refusing to work, of lines blocked, of some disturbance further down the system which had spread, as such things do, beyond its point of origin.

Once, at a Lodge meeting, Gormally had heard the word spoken plainly. “Anarchists,” said a worshipful brother in a tone that was half contempt, half unease. “Blowing rails in the Ardennes, they say. Or threatening to. It amounts to the same thing.”

Gormally pondered that word. Anarchists. It seemed too imprecise to use in a telegram or to note down in the ledger. Yet the effect, whether the cause were as described or not, was real enough. The system upon which Kuhn had depended – the steady, ordered movement of goods and messages – had faltered.

On the twelfth day, the first portion of the cargo cleared the docks.

Gormally marked it in the book, the figures set down with care: tonnage, date, vessel. He felt a momentary relief. If the remainder followed promptly, they might yet meet the term, or come close enough to argue that they had done so in substance, if not in the strict letter.

On the thirteenth day, nothing moved.

On the fourteenth, a further consignment was loaded, but it was clear by then that the whole would not be shipped within the time named.

Kuhn stood at the desk as the figures were entered.

“We shall send what we have,” he said. “And we shall explain.”

Gormally nodded. It was all that could be done.

He drafted the message to Hamburg with more care than any he had yet composed. He set out the facts: the quantity shipped, the dates, the circumstances of delay. He did not use the word anarchists. He wrote instead of “interruption of traffic beyond our control,” and trusted that the phrase would carry what it needed to carry.

The reply came the following day, not from Hamburg directly, but again through the Luxembourg house.

HOLD YOU LIABLE LOSSES FAILURE COMPLY STRICT TERMS STOP CLAIM TO FOLLOW STOP

Kuhn read it, and for a long moment said nothing.

Gormally felt, with a clarity that was almost physical, the point at which the matter had turned. It was not the delay; that, though unfortunate, might have been borne. It was the word – strict – now set against them, no longer a part of a hurried exchange, but of a claim.

“They will say we accepted it,” said Kuhn at last.

Gormally did not answer.

Kuhn turned to him.

“You wrote it,” he said, not accusingly, but as one states a fact.

“Yes,” said Gormally.

“And you believed it?”

“I did,” said Gormally. Then, after a moment, “I do.”

Kuhn inclined his head, as though acknowledging the honesty of the reply, if not its substance.

“Then we must see what others will make of it,” he said.

The papers were gathered, the telegrams laid out in order, the bill drawn and accepted, the endorsements noted. Somewhere between London, Hamburg and the small Grand Duchy through which the dispute now ran, the matter would be read again, line by line, in a language not their own, and given a meaning that would bind them more firmly than any they had intended.

Part IV here.

This time last year:
A month on from my heart attack

This time four years ago:
Park+Ride for Jeziorki

This time five years ago:
Decimalisation and determination

This time nine years ago:
God, an Englishman, orders his Eden thus:

This time 11 years ago:
I buy a Nikon Coolpix A

This time 12 years ago:
More about the Ladder of Authority

This time 13 years ago:
By bike, south of Warsaw

This time 15 years ago:
Functionalist architecture in Warsaw

This time 16 years ago:
What's the Polish for 'to bully'?

This time 17 years ago:
Making plans

This time 18 years ago:
The setting sun stirs my soul

This time 19 years ago:
Rain ends the drought
March and April 2026: the driest since records began


Monday, 4 May 2026

The Terms of Trade – a short story (Pt II)

[Part I here]

It was in the late summer of 1880 that a message arrived from Hamburg which would alter the course of Kuhn’s business – and indeed, his life. 

Gormally had been at his desk since before eight, entering the previous day’s transactions into the ledger, when the boy from Cornhill arrived with the first bundle of telegrams. Most were of the usual kind – small adjustments, enquiries, acknowledgements – but one, marked urgent, he read several times before passing it on.

Kuhn glanced at it and set it aside. He finished with the others first, marking them in pencil, dictating replies without emotion. Only when the bundle was cleared did he return to the Hamburg telegram. “Read it,” he said, passing it back. Gormally did so, this time aloud.

REQUIRE FOUR HUNDRED TONS FINE CHESHIRE IMMEDIATE SHIPMENT FOR CURING STOP REPLY URGENT

“Herring, I'd suppose” said Gormally.  “An unexpectedly large catch for the time of year?”

 “Seems so,” replied Kuhn. “It would spoil quickly in this heat.”

Both men instinctively felt the thing. Hamburg was short. Liverpool had not yet spoken. Between the two there lay a margin, if it could be taken quickly enough. “We could offer,” he said.

Kuhn did not answer at once. He placed the paper on the desk. “At what price?” he asked.

Gormally named a figure. It was not extravagant, but it assumed that Liverpool would not move against them before the answer came back. “And freight?” said Kuhn. “Steady,” said Gormally. “If we move this morning.”

“Very well,” said Kuhn. “We will offer. But you will not bind us beyond what is written.” Gormally nodded. He took up a form and began to write, choosing his words with care. He had done this so many times over his years with Kuhn.

OFFER FOUR HUNDRED TONS FINE CHESHIRE PROMPT SHIPMENT STOP PRICE AS ADVISED LESS TWO PERCENT STOP REPLY IMMEDIATELY STOP

He read it through once, then passed it to Kuhn, who made one alteration – crossing out PROMPT and writing EARLY above it – before handing it back. “Send it,” he said. Gormally folded the form and gave it to the office boy, who was gone at once, down the stairs and into the street, running as Gormally himself had run not so long before.

The room settled again into its quiet rhythm. A broker called, stayed a few minutes, and went. A letter was brought in and answered. The clock on the mantelpiece marked the quarter hours with soft chimes. It was a little after ten when the reply came.

The boy entered without knocking as was the custom in their firm, breathless. Gormally thanked him graciously, took the paper and read it.

ACCEPT YOUR OFFER CONDITION SHIPMENT WITHIN  FOURTEEN DAYS STRICT STOP

The words were few, but they carried more than they said.

He handed it to Kuhn who read it once, then again. “They add a condition,” he said.

Gormally did not immediately reply. The phrase lay between them: condition shipment within fourteen days strict. Was it a qualification, or merely a statement of what was in any case expected? Fourteen days was customary in a trade of this kind.

“They accept,” said Gormally at last. Kuhn looked at him.

“They accept,” Gormally repeated, more firmly. “And state their requirement.”

“They make their acceptance dependent upon it,” said Kuhn. “That is not the same thing.”

Gormally hesitated. He could see, as Kuhn saw, the other reading; but he could also see the market closing, the margin narrowing even as they spoke. If they treated this as a counter-offer, and replied again, time would be lost. Hamburg might go elsewhere. Liverpool might move.

“If we delay, we lose it," said Gormally.

Kuhn said nothing.

Gormally pressed the point. “Fourteen days is achievable. If we secure loading at once.”

“And if we do not?” said Kuhn. Gormally did not answer. Finally, Kuhn set the paper down. “You will answer...” he said “...With caution.”

Gormally took up another form. For a moment his pen hovered, as though the words might choose themselves. Then he wrote:

CONFIRMED AS AGREED STOP SHIPMENT WITHIN FOURTEEN DAYS STOP

He omitted the term 'STRICT'. 

Kuhn read it out aloud; for a moment it seemed he might object. Then he nodded once.“Send it.” There was the slightest hesitancy in Kuhn's voice that hinted at some vague misgiving he might have harboured about this transaction. Gormally felt it too, though what it was, neither man could not tell.

The boy was gone again, the paper in his hand.

Part III tomorrow.

This time two years ago:
More from Świnoujście

This time three years ago:
Intimations of Immortality, revisited.

This time six years ago:
Things will never be the same Pt II

This time seven years ago:
Up to my waist

This time eight years ago:
Luton Airport's never-ending modernisation works

This time 11 years ago:
Another office move

This time 12 years ago:
Workhorse of the Free World's Air Forces over Jeziorki

This time 13 years ago:
Looking for The Zone, in and around Jeziorki

This time 14 years ago:
I awake to snow, on 4 May
[Today's top temperature was 29°C]

This time 19 years ago:
This is not America. No?


Sunday, 3 May 2026

The Terms of Trade – a short story (Pt I)

[Based on a dream I had this morning, set in the City of London in 1880.]

Joseph Gormally came to London as a young man in 1870 from the rural poverty of Co. Tyrone, finding employment as a telegraph courier for a commodities merchant named Kuhn. Gormally was fleet of foot, sharp of mind and usually of good cheer. His employer noted the speed with which the Irish youth picked up the basics of the business, despite a lack of formal education. Kuhn has been intermediating in the commodities trade between London and the continent, an enterprise set up by his late father nearly 40 years earlier. The firm specialised in salt – buying salt wholesale from Cheshire and selling it to the fish-briners of Antwerp and Hamburg. Kuhn & Co., Merchants and Commission Agents, it said on the brass plaque outside the office. Telegraphy had revolutionised the business, something the young Gormally quickly came to understand as he rushed from Kuhn's office on Mincing Lane to the telegraph office on Cornhill bearing confirmation of prices for orders for hundreds of tons of salt.

Kuhn's business had become a major player in the market after the Franco-Prussian War began; the German side, mobilising their armies, suddenly needed five hundred tons of salt to preserve fish with which to provision their troops; Kuhn had acted quickly and managed to ensure that the ships carrying the salt reached Hamburg before the French navy imposed their blockade of the North German coast. The bill of exchange was settled at Kuhn's merchant bank in good time; he made an exceptional windfall profit of £200 on that single trade.

The money went to extend his business, set up by the senior Mr Kuhn who had emigrated to London from Hamburg at the end of the Napoleonic Wars. The younger Kuhn took over the company on his father's death just as the British government was about to nationalise the telegraph services. He understood the importance of this technology to profitable commodity trading; it gave his business the edge over rivals who relied more on long-standing contacts. It was around this time that Kuhn offered employment to Gormally. 

The young Irishman was regularly in the Cornhill telegraph office, making himself memorable to its employees thanks to his propensity to offer kind words and humour. He was well liked. Kuhn soon promoted the runner to clerk. Entering the texts of messages into the ledger, Gormally quickly came to understand the business; he could foresee a margin, a spread, a profit that could be made if a decision was made swiftly. His perspicacity did not go unnoticed.

Kuhn's wife, Margarite, was instrumental in Gormally's rise. She was often in the office, helping her husband. Noticing the Irish lad and his quick wit, she suggested that he be sent to night school to pick up commercial skills. 

One evening Gormally had been invited to dinner at the Kuhns' house in St John's Wood, bringing with him his fiancée, Helen, whom he'd met at the telegraph office, where she worked. The dinner was going well. Helen and Joseph shared a sense of humour, and Margarite liked her too. After the servants had cleared the table, Kuhn took Gormally into the drawing room, offered him a cigar and casually asked whether he believed in God. Gormally, who had been educated by the Sisters of Charity, replied that since coming to London he had stopped attending Holy Mass on a regular basis but still believed in a Supreme Being. 

The discussion led to Gormally being introduced by Kuhn to Freemasonry. As an outsider, more connected to the Continent than to London's cliquey networks, the younger Kuhn had been persuaded by his father to join the Freemasons, which proved a canny business move. And now Gormally – another outsider – was about to become one.

Part II tomorrow...

This time last year:
In town and around

This time three years ago:
Return to the Konstancin-Jeziorna sidings

This time seven years ago:
A review of the second part of Hillier's Betjeman biog.

This time eight years ago:
New roads and rails

This time eight years ago:
The Gold Train shoot – lessons learned

This time 12 years ago:
Digbeth, Birmingham 5

This time 13 years ago:
Still months away from the opening of the S2/S79 

This time 14 years ago: 
Looking at progress along the S79  

This time 15 years ago:
Snow on 3 May

This time 16 years ago:
Two Polands

This time 17 years ago:
A delightful weekend in the country

This time 18 years ago:
The dismantling of the Rampa

This time 19 years ago:
Flag day

Saturday, 2 May 2026

May forever

The most beautiful month of the year, May. Thursday morning saw the commercial orchards dripping with icicles; that would be the last frost of the year. A mere 48 hours later and dawn broke with 10 degrees on the thermometer.

Below: my front garden, early afternoon. Forget-me-nots, apple blossom, and brilliant blue sky. The ground is exploding with vegetation; the late-winter garden work is over. Let it grow, let it grow, let it grow. No mow May, no intervention. Let the leaves produce oxygen for our planet.

Below: this must be the best apple blossom, across the tracks on ulica Słoneczna. The pink will soon fade, the petals will soon wither. Last days of perfection. It is dry, however; rain is much needed.


My stroll today takes me into Chynów, then on to Sułkowice.

Below: roadworks along ulica Kolejowa continue. The old asphalt between the level crossing and the old stationmaster's house has been removed ahead of a resurfacing. Signs have gone up at the bottom end of ul. Wspólna saying that the road will be closed from 30 April to 5 May; today is 2 May and the road's been open for the past three days. I hope the work will be done on time.


Below: with the top layer gone, we can see some local history – the old 'kocie łby' (literally cats' heads) – cobblestones. A reminder that the station, and indeed the entire Warsaw-Radom railway line was built in 20 months, opening in November 1934.



Below: looking north from outside the main station building. The first parking spaces (kiss & ride?) have been paved; waiting now for the pavement to connect station to level crossing.


Below: from zero local eateries to three within the space of 18 months – that's progress! Here comes the latest one, days away from opening. Loft Chynów – "Lunch Pizza & Burger by Pizza Park". Beer on tap. Will definitely be visiting!


Below: on to Sułkowice, along ulica Ogrodowa, near the elementary school. Note the neatly coppiced trees lining the fence.


Below: approaching the police-dog training school on the left. Note the traffic speed monitor on the other side of the street. The display (on the other side) shows how fast vehicles are going – and how many points on the licence that would be. But it's just performative. Local drivers have learned to ignore it (and the other one further along ulica Ogrodowa nearer Chynów). 

Below: Sułkowice's new three-story block of flats, an unusual typology for Polish rural residential development, which shows how supply and demand are being matched.

Home by train (one stop, 2.73zł with senior's discount – that's 55p for a journey just under 3km / 2 miles). Beautiful day!

This time two years ago:|
In and out of Germany via Świnoujście


This time eight years ago:
The Network vs The Hierarchy in politics

This time 13 years ago:
Pozytywki ponds after refurbishment

This time 14 years ago:
Mayday in the heat (don't exaggerate with the suncream!)

This time 16 years ago:
Night train, carry me home

This time 19 years ago:
Into the mountains